Description

This analysis provides a forecast of GRT6719 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.122294 0.136189 0.151533 0.169826 0.191164 0.215416 0.245277
2024-10-20 0.102052 0.120500 0.142556 0.171234 0.208084 0.254622 0.319132
2024-10-27 0.085898 0.105898 0.131278 0.166584 0.215655 0.283425 0.387878
2024-11-03 0.077875 0.099686 0.128864 0.172033 0.236652 0.334103 0.501739
2024-11-10 0.071349 0.094224 0.126213 0.176128 0.255949 0.386548 0.636564
2024-11-17 0.064315 0.086981 0.119781 0.173157 0.263212 0.420979 0.752758
2024-11-24 0.058245 0.080334 0.113223 0.168685 0.266712 0.449248 0.868185
2024-12-01 0.052028 0.072796 0.104372 0.159052 0.259170 0.454664 0.936123
2024-12-08 0.048690 0.069277 0.101358 0.158704 0.268297 0.495299 1.107562
2024-12-15 0.046679 0.067592 0.101044 0.162906 0.286807 0.561065 1.384322
2024-12-22 0.043289 0.063408 0.096145 0.158072 0.286112 0.582918 1.545702
2024-12-29 0.042143 0.062748 0.097109 0.164285 0.309859 0.671776 1.999446
2025-01-05 0.039575 0.059610 0.093609 0.161672 0.314340 0.714449 2.332387
2025-01-12 0.037768 0.057624 0.091983 0.162632 0.327502 0.787278 2.884513
2025-01-19 0.035382 0.054469 0.087954 0.158129 0.326630 0.818572 3.281839
2025-01-26 0.034454 0.053776 0.088397 0.163137 0.350900 0.941543 4.414277
2025-02-02 0.033440 0.052846 0.088289 0.166916 0.372989 1.069734 5.911080
2025-02-09 0.031770 0.050611 0.085451 0.164132 0.376239 1.129626 7.041825
2025-02-16 0.030089 0.048249 0.082181 0.159958 0.374675 1.170421 8.143257
2025-02-23 0.028028 0.045080 0.077091 0.150971 0.357188 1.136822 8.345349
2025-03-02 0.027009 0.043789 0.075683 0.150644 0.366158 1.226486 10.498290
2025-03-09 0.026477 0.043370 0.076005 0.154564 0.389509 1.400108 15.086420
2025-03-16 0.025188 0.041447 0.073083 0.150054 0.384390 1.427798 17.262391